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A risk reversal is another form of currency hedging. Like a protection option, a risk reversal allows you to set a worst case rate for a fee paid up front (a premium). In addition, it lets you set a best case rate. Because you have this, the premium is less.
If the rate moves against you, you use your worst case rate. If it moves in your favour, you can take advantage of the spot rate. If the spot rate is better than your best case rate, you simply get your best case rate.
Let’s say that the 3 month AUD USD Forward Contract rate is 0.96. You set your worst case rate at 0.95 and your best case rate at 0.99. You pay a premium of 1%.
Scenario 1 – On expiry, the spot rate is below 0.95
You buy your US dollars at 0.95
Scenario 2 – On expiry, the spot rate is above 0.95 and below 0.99
You buy your US dollars at the spot rate
Scenario 3 – On expiry the spot rate is above 0.99
You buy your US dollars at 0.99
Let’s say that the AUD USD Forward Contract rate is 0.96. You set your worst case rate at 0.97 and your best case rate at 0.93 You pay a premium of 1%.
Scenario 1 – On expiry, the spot rate is above 0.97
You sell your US dollars at 0.97
Scenario 2 – On expiry, the spot rate is below 0.97 and above 0.93
You sell your US dollars at the spot rate
Scenario 3 – On expiry the spot rate is below 0.93
You sell your US dollars at 0.93
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